Can Trump Catch Up and Win This Crucial Demographic Before November?

Donald Trump continues to lag behind Kamala Harris with women voters, while some advisors urge the former President to focus on policy areas like inflation and immigration to bring them on board before November. Recognizing that women, particularly white women, may hold the key to the White House, Trump backers advise him to focus on keeping them safe by ending mass, unvetted migration, protecting women’s sports, and focusing on the economy and inflation.

While abortion will likely play a key role in November’s election, Republican strategists caution against placing it front and center. Nevertheless, according to Pew Research, 67% of Harris backers describe abortion as “very important” – double the number who said the same in 2020. Meanwhile, the number of Trump supporters who consider the issue important has dropped from 46% in 2020 to 35% today.

Notably, figures show that the number of abortions performed in America has increased by 11% since the Supreme Court overturned Roe v Wade, which some critics say affords Trump the ability to combat accusations that he has outlawed the procedure.

Nevertheless, the former President will likely face a difficult task in winning over women as polling shows Vice President Harris with a significant lead. Before the hotly anticipated debate between the rivals in Philadelphia, Harris led by around 3% overall—a lead largely held in place by women.

Post-debate, Harris extended her advantage, with Morning Consult showing her reaching a new peak of 6%. A statement from the pollster said Harris had gained among women and 18 to 34-year-olds, who were particularly impressed with her debate performance.

Several other surveys, including those from YouGov and Reuters, show that Harris maintains an advantage of roughly 4% across the board. In battleground states, post-debate results show that Harris leads Trump by 3% in Pennsylvania, and her favorability has reached a new high of 49%. Among the Keystone State’s women, the Vice President leads 56% to 39%. In Wisconsin, Harris leads by 52% to 48%, while in North Carolina, Harris has a surprising 0.2% advantage.

Both candidates are set to take their campaigns to the battleground states for the remaining weeks, while polling shows few surprises in traditionally blue and red states.